

How To Approach The GTA Real Estate Market In 2026
We receive many questions from buyers asking what will happen to the Greater Toronto real estate market in 2026. While no one truly knows the future, given global economic uncertainty and political tensions at home, we can look at what happened in 2025 to identify patterns.
What we’re seeing is that the numbers are starting to look better, but for most people, it still feels unsafe to buy. And this is because 2025 created a split market in people’s minds.
The market was easier on buyers, but psychologically, they’re still at low confidence levels. RE/MAX Team Paliwal believes that the opportunity in 2026 isn’t “timing the bottom.” It’s about understanding the gap between math and emotion, because most people are still making decisions with outdated assumptions from 2021 – 2023.
We know that you’re hearing a lot of people in the media saying that the market has ‘adjusted,’ but what does that actually mean? Let’s talk about the four things that changed in 2025 that we found interesting.
Do you know what you need to become a first time home buyer? In this guide we go in great detail so you can purchase your first home!
1. Payment math improved, not just prices
Prices have dropped substantially from peak levels, and mortgage rates have gone down from their highs as well. According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board’s (TRREB) 2025 Year In Review, affordability has improved using a payment-based measure (share of income dedicated to mortgage principal and interest dropped from the 2023-2024 peak period into 2025). In plain English, even if a home is still expensive, the monthly payments are easier to carry compared to when prices were high and rates were at their worst.

2. Choices increased, which reduces buyer risk
Active listings and months of inventory increased across all property types. We’re not simply saying that “more listings are good.” The fact is, when there are more options and homes take longer to sell, buyers don’t have to decide in 24 hours, don’t have to overbid just to win, and can walk away without losing the only home they’ll see for two months. This is what we mean when we say that risk has shifted away from buyers.


3. Sellers lost leverage because demand wasn’t there
TRREB’s report shows clear pent-up demand building when you compare expected sales (based on employed population) versus actual sales. This tells us that people still need housing, but they delayed acting. When demand exists but hesitates while listings build, sellers lose control over terms and timing. This didn’t happen to every seller or every segment, but the market overall showed signs of this shift.

4. Buyer psychology separated from buyer math
Ipsos data in the report shows that buying intentions are down and economic confidence is at historic lows. In a survey, respondents indicated that the difference between what they could afford and what they wanted in an ideal home was $589/month. This shows that buyers aren’t just thinking about home affordability – they are reacting to cost-of-living pressure, job anxiety, uncertainty, and interest rate fear. So even when affordability improves on paper, buyers are still low on confidence.


What does this mean for 2026?
2025 didn’t necessarily make housing that much cheaper or more appealing. What it did do was reduce some of the factors that made buyers overpay and panic in earlier years. In 2026, the smart move isn’t predicting price direction. It’s updating your assumptions. If you’re still shopping like it’s 2021, you’ll either freeze or overpay. Approach the market with more process and less urgency, because the conditions allow you to do that.
Work with an experienced real estate agent who has the patience to show you homes, help you prepare an appropriate offer amount that can begin healthy negotiations, and include terms in the agreement of purchase and sale that offer you as much protection and peace of mind as possible.
RE/MAX Team Paliwal is here to help you
Working with the right realtors can help you with proper planning so that you can enjoy the benefits of homeownership without it turning into a financial nightmare.
RE/MAX Team Paliwal is a small team of highly accomplished real estate agents with more than 40+ years of combined experience in the Greater Golden Horseshoe Area. Our reputation for a thorough process attracts many first-time homebuyers, but we also work with all buyers and sellers aiming to upgrade their homes.
After hundreds of successful deals, we are fortunate to be one of the most trusted and highly reviewed real estate teams online. You can find all real testimonials and reviews of our team on RankMyAgent.com, a verified review platform by the Canadian Real Estate Association, realtor.ca and RE/MAX.CA
Our team has ranked in the top 50 teams in Canada at RankMyAgent.com for the last 3 years, and our team leader Gyanesh Paliwal is the recipient of RE/MAX International’s Hall of Fame Award, Lifetime Achievement Award, and Titan Club Awards.
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