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Real estate market 2026
Real estate market 2026

How To Approach The GTA Real Estate Market In 2026

We receive many questions from buyers asking what will happen to the Greater Toronto real estate market in 2026. While no one truly knows the future, given global economic uncertainty and political tensions at home, we can look at what happened in 2025 to identify patterns.

What we’re seeing is that the numbers are starting to look better, but for most people, it still feels unsafe to buy. And this is because 2025 created a split market in people’s minds.

The market was easier on buyers, but psychologically, they’re still at low confidence levels. RE/MAX Team Paliwal believes that the opportunity in 2026 isn’t “timing the bottom.” It’s about understanding the gap between math and emotion, because most people are still making decisions with outdated assumptions from 2021 – 2023.

We know that you’re hearing a lot of people in the media saying that the market has ‘adjusted,’ but what does that actually mean? Let’s talk about the four things that changed in 2025 that we found interesting.

Do you know what you need to become a first time home buyer? In this guide we go in great detail so you can purchase your first home!

1. Payment math improved, not just prices

Prices have dropped substantially from peak levels, and mortgage rates have gone down from their highs as well. According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board’s (TRREB) 2025 Year In Review, affordability has improved using a payment-based measure (share of income dedicated to mortgage principal and interest dropped from the 2023-2024 peak period into 2025). In plain English, even if a home is still expensive, the monthly payments are easier to carry compared to when prices were high and rates were at their worst.

affordability graph

2. Choices increased, which reduces buyer risk

Active listings and months of inventory increased across all property types. We’re not simply saying that “more listings are good.” The fact is, when there are more options and homes take longer to sell, buyers don’t have to decide in 24 hours, don’t have to overbid just to win, and can walk away without losing the only home they’ll see for two months. This is what we mean when we say that risk has shifted away from buyers.

Listings are up across all segments
Buyers are benefitting from much more choice

3. Sellers lost leverage because demand wasn’t there

TRREB’s report shows clear pent-up demand building when you compare expected sales (based on employed population) versus actual sales. This tells us that people still need housing, but they delayed acting. When demand exists but hesitates while listings build, sellers lose control over terms and timing. This didn’t happen to every seller or every segment, but the market overall showed signs of this shift.

pent up demand graph

4. Buyer psychology separated from buyer math

Ipsos data in the report shows that buying intentions are down and economic confidence is at historic lows. In a survey, respondents indicated that the difference between what they could afford and what they wanted in an ideal home was $589/month. This shows that buyers aren’t just thinking about home affordability – they are reacting to cost-of-living pressure, job anxiety, uncertainty, and interest rate fear. So even when affordability improves on paper, buyers are still low on confidence.

affordability concerns graph
Gap between what buyers could afford to pay

What does this mean for 2026?

2025 didn’t necessarily make housing that much cheaper or more appealing. What it did do was reduce some of the factors that made buyers overpay and panic in earlier years. In 2026, the smart move isn’t predicting price direction. It’s updating your assumptions. If you’re still shopping like it’s 2021, you’ll either freeze or overpay. Approach the market with more process and less urgency, because the conditions allow you to do that. 

Work with an experienced real estate agent who has the patience to show you homes, help you prepare an appropriate offer amount that can begin healthy negotiations, and include terms in the agreement of purchase and sale that offer you as much protection and peace of mind as possible.

RE/MAX Team Paliwal is here to help you

Working with the right realtors can help you with proper planning so that you can enjoy the benefits of homeownership without it turning into a financial nightmare.

RE/MAX Team Paliwal is a small team of highly accomplished real estate agents with more than 40+ years of combined experience in the Greater Golden Horseshoe Area. Our reputation for a thorough process attracts many first-time homebuyers, but we also work with all buyers and sellers aiming to upgrade their homes.

After hundreds of successful deals, we are fortunate to be one of the most trusted and highly reviewed real estate teams online. You can find all real testimonials and reviews of our team on RankMyAgent.com, a verified review platform by the Canadian Real Estate Association, realtor.ca and RE/MAX.CA

Our team has ranked in the top 50 teams in Canada at RankMyAgent.com for the last 3 years, and our team leader Gyanesh Paliwal is the recipient of RE/MAX International’s Hall of Fame Award, Lifetime Achievement Award, and Titan Club Awards.

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Verified Reviews of The Best Real Estate Team

Me and my wife Harshita comes with a background and strong belief of having the blessings of elders is ultra-important. Our signing the contract was purely because of Team Leader Gyanesh Paliwal. We really liked his knowledge, experience and as an elder and like a family member. Given this was our first Home experience and we were super anxious, on the closing day when we both were missing our parents the most to hear that voice go for it, you played that role. It was your voice in the end saying go for it gave me the courage to say yes. We hope that this would turn out to be one of our best decisions. In future we would love to work with you from the start till the end.

- Amit Arora, October 2023
It’s been an absolute pleasure working with Akanksha and Gyanesh Paliwal of RE/MAX Team Paliwal. What started as a relationship with our real estate broker quickly evolved into a personal connection. The team has a deep understanding of the housing market but what stood out was always their attention to our unique needs. Gyanesh and Akanksha took out time to educate us as first time home buyer about the process of searching and purchasing a home before diving into the real home hunt. Akanksha’s approach to shift through the inventory and filter it down to our needs was very methodical which made it easier for us to make the final decision.

- Nimish Sharma, October 2023
We wanted to take a moment to express our deepest gratitude for the outstanding support and guidance both of you provided throughout our investment property journey. Your expertise, dedication, and unwavering commitment played a pivotal role in helping us secure the perfect investment property. From the initial discussions about our requirements to the countless conversations around pricing and property types, your patience and professionalism shone brightly. Your in-depth knowledge of the real estate market and keen understanding of our needs made the entire process smooth and stress-free. RE/MAX Team Paliwal’s valuable insights not only saved us time but also helped us make informed decisions, ensuring that we found a property that aligns perfectly with our investment goals.

- Ruchi Naik, October 2023
I wanna share my experience with Re/Max, Gyanesh Paliwal and his team, when the idea of buying house came up in our minds, we called Remax team Paliwal they explained everything in details, and kept following up with us till we made the decision to buy the house, then we met Gyanesh Paliwal, and they did everything to make us understand all the details of buying house as that was our first time, then the journey of viewing houses started, we visited tens of them in different places, they gave us opinion about each house, if any of them is in bad location or has something bad, they right away told us about it, then we came to the point that we found the house that we loved.

- Mohamed Elghazaly, October 2023
I was thinking of making an investment in GTA market. RE/MAX Agent Gyanesh Paliwal’s name was strongly recommended by my family. Gyanesh suggested me a few hand-picked great projects. He provided me full analysis of the project from a top builder. His support to make the right decision is great and he also coordinated and communicated with the builder on my behalf to complete the whole buying process.

- Anu Chadha, August 2023
Real Estate Agent Gyanesh Paliwal. portrait image of him
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